Monday, September 29, 2014

Monday pythagorean - 9/29/2014

And so it ends...
  • After a season in which they were not just disappointing offensive, but outright bad, they finished with a very strong week. After scoring in double digits just four times in their first 157 games, they scored double digits in 3 of their next 4.


  • We now know that Rusney Castillo can make contact, hit with power, play defense and throw the ball. Which is all good. But many can do those things - the thing that determines whether he's a good Major League player or not is whether he can do those things consistently. That, we won't know. But we've seen enough to say this - there have been flashes and it's conceivable that he's a player that we'll be happy to watch going forward.


  • Believe it or not, they actually replaced Jacoby Ellsbury's production in CF. They just didn't do it until late in the season. But Mookie Betts was better in 2014 than Ellsbury was in 2013.


  • I hope to put together a season retrospective over the next couple of weeks, but I cannot promise it.


  • For those of us who don't care for Derek Jeter, the broadcasts this weekend were dreadful, bad enough to actually prevent me from watching much of it. He's the most overrated great player in the history of the game. A good defensive SS with his offensive numbers is an all-time great, but he was a bad defensive SS. And I don't think he's the epitome of clutch and class and all that, but largely a PR creation - I think he's Alex Rodriguez, just better at it. The New York media anointed him, and nurtured and protected his reputation. He's gone now, and I'm glad (except that he's hurt the Yankees if he kept playing...)


  • There's a lot of work to be done in the off-season. They've got some talent acquisition to do on the pitching, and a lot of sorting and decision making on the position players.


  • Red Sox Player of the Week - Rusney Castillo (.400/.500/.750/1.250, 7.10 runs created, 14.80 RC/25 outs)


  • Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - Another real strong outing from Allen Webster this week, one run allowed over seven innings in win over the Rays.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/29/2014
ProjectedActual
R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck
Oakland4.5(3)3.53(2)0.609(1)99638874-11
LA Angels4.77(1)3.89(6)0.593(2)966698642
Baltimore4.35(6)3.66(3)0.578(3)946896662
Seattle3.91(11)3.42(1)0.561(4)91718775-4
Detroit4.67(2)4.35(10)0.533(5)867690724
Toronto4.46(4)4.23(9)0.524(6)85778379-2
Kansas City4.02(9)3.85(4)0.519(7)847889735
Cleveland4.13(7)4.03(7)0.511(8)837985772
Tampa Bay3.78(15)3.86(5)0.49(9)79837785-2
NY Yankees3.91(13)4.1(8)0.478(10)778584787
Minnesota4.41(5)4.8(15)0.462(11)75877092-5
Boston3.91(11)4.41(11)0.445(12)72907191-1
Chicago Sox4.07(8)4.68(13)0.437(13)719173892
Houston3.88(14)4.46(12)0.437(14)71917092-1
Texas3.93(10)4.77(14)0.412(15)679567950
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
LA Angels9864
Baltimore9666
Detroit9072
Kansas City8973
Oakland8874
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
LA Angels9864
Baltimore9666
Detroit9072
Kansas City8973
Oakland8874
Standings for the week
ProjectedActual
R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck
Toronto5.43(2)2.57(1)0.797(1)6152-1
Boston6.83(1)4.33(11)0.697(2)4233-1
Kansas City4.38(5)3(5)0.666(3)53530
Minnesota5(4)3.43(6)0.666(3)5243-1
Oakland3.86(6)2.86(2)0.634(5)4334-1
Texas2.86(10)2.86(2)0.5(6)43521
NY Yankees5.14(3)5.14(14)0.5(6)43430
Cleveland2.71(11)2.86(2)0.477(8)34431
Baltimore3.43(7)4(9)0.43(9)34340
Detroit3.43(7)4.43(12)0.385(10)34431
LA Angels2.67(13)3.67(7)0.358(11)24240
Seattle3.29(9)5(13)0.317(12)25432
Chicago Sox2.71(11)4.14(10)0.316(13)25250
Houston2(15)3.67(7)0.248(14)15150
Tampa Bay2.33(14)5.33(15)0.181(15)15241

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