2010 Red Sox Projections - RF

This is post nine in a series of posts previewing the 2010 Red Sox.

2009 vs. 2010 Red Sox - RF:
2009 - J.D. Drew
2010 - J.D. Drew

Another position where the Red Sox are returning the same player. Unlike second base, however, we cannot reasonably expect J.D. Drew to take 96% of the at-bats. So I've got Drew at 75% of the RF at-bats, with Jeremy Hermida replacing Rocco Baldelli and inheriting the other 25%.

Drew remains an excellent all-around player, albeit one who tends to disappoint those who judge players on RBI, temper tantrums and thrown helmets and bats.

Red Sox 2009 vs. 2010 - CF

Player	AB	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	IBB	HBP	K	SB	CS	SH	SF	GDP	BA	OBA	SPct	OPS	RC	RC/25
J.D. Drew (marcel)	433	77	116	26	4	18	63	75	5	3	100	4	4	1	4	9	.269	.377	.472	.850	77.3	5.78
Jeremy Hermida (marcel)	145	19	39	6	0	5	18	16	1	1	35	1	0	0	0	2	.269	.350	.434	.784	22.0	4.98
J.D. Drew (PECOTA)	433	75	111	26	2	16	63	72	5	3	103	2	2	1	4	9	.257	.365	.442	.807	70.9	5.24
Jeremy Hermida (PECOTA)	145	20	39	8	0	5	20	17	1	1	37	1	0	0	0	2	.269	.351	.453	.804	22.8	5.13
2009 RF	578	104	163	34	5	32	88	87	5	5	138	3	6	1	4	11	.282	.378	.524	.903	111.0	6.35
2010 RF (marcel)	578	96	155	32	4	23	81	91	6	4	135	5	4	1	4	11	.269	.371	.463	.834	99.4	5.58
2010 RF (PECOTA)	578	96	150	34	3	22	84	89	6	4	140	3	3	1	4	11	.260	.362	.445	.806	93.7	5.22

Both of the projections see a decline. This is not surprising, as Drew is headed in to his age 34 season. But there's no particular reason to expect a cliff, and there's no reason not to expect another productive season from Drew.

2010 RF projection: Age related decline. Net small downgrade

Previous entries:
Introduction
Catcher
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF