The All Star break arrives, and the most wins in baseball belong to your Boston Red Sox. As everyone no doubt expected before the season began...
- Not much help forthcoming from the opponents of the Tampa Rays, who have won 9-of-10 and 14-of-16 to move to within 2 1/2 games of the Red Sox. (Not that much was expected, given that they were hosting the Twins and Astros.) Since 6/28, the Red Sox have gone 9-6, .600 ball, and lost 4 1/2 games in the standings to the Rays. But they've extended their lead over the Orioles and Yankees.
- People are wont to speak of the All Star break as the halfway point, or "unofficial halfway" point of the season. Actually, the Red Sox have played nearly 60 % of their games. 97 down, 65 to go.
- Of the AL East teams, the Red Sox have both the best home winning percentage (.659) and the best road winning percentage (.540).
- The Red Sox also have the highest percentage of home games remaining (34-of-65, 52.3%). [The Blue Jays have 35 home games remaining, but also 33 road games remaining, as the Jays have played three fewer games than the Red Sox thus far.]
- The Red Sox have the best record in the AL. They're one game behind the Cardinals, tied with the Pirates, for the best record in baseball.
- Boston leads all of Major League baseball in runs scored, with 498, 21 runs better than 2nd place Detroit. Their run differential (91) is the second-best in baseball behind St. Louis (125).
- Great first Major League start for Brandon Workman, who took a no-hitter into the seventh, and then lost it on an infield single. The 2nd-hit, unfortunately, left the park on yet another day when the offense was struggling, and they ended up losing, but Workman was excellent.
- Red Sox Player of the Week - I apologize if this is getting repetitive, but David Ortiz (.360/.433/.720/1.153) just continues to roll on. At age 38, he's as good now as he's ever been, and has been consistently excellent this year.
- Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - Workman's start yesterday was, despite the disappointing ending, excellent. John Lackey continues to dominate. But the most award-worthy performance of the week came from journeyman knuckle-baller Steven Wright, whose 5 2/3 scoreless innings allowed them to win a game in which they trailed big early, and do it without using anyone else out of the bullpen.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 7/15/2013
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual | | |
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | |
|---|
| Detroit | 5.24 | (1) | 4.26 | (7) | 0.593 | (1) | 56 | 38 | 52 | 42 | -4 | |
| Boston | 5.19 | (2) | 4.24 | (6) | 0.591 | (2) | 57 | 40 | 58 | 39 | 1 | |
| Oakland | 4.52 | (8) | 3.86 | (1) | 0.571 | (3) | 54 | 41 | 56 | 39 | 2 | |
| Tampa Bay | 4.68 | (6) | 4.05 | (3) | 0.565 | (4) | 54 | 42 | 55 | 41 | 1 | |
| Baltimore | 4.81 | (3) | 4.53 | (10) | 0.528 | (5) | 51 | 45 | 53 | 43 | 2 | |
| Texas | 4.33 | (9) | 4.08 | (4) | 0.526 | (6) | 50 | 45 | 54 | 41 | 4 | |
| Cleveland | 4.78 | (4) | 4.52 | (9) | 0.526 | (7) | 50 | 45 | 51 | 44 | 1 | |
| NY Yankees | 3.93 | (13) | 3.95 | (2) | 0.498 | (8) | 47 | 48 | 51 | 44 | 4 | |
| LA Angels | 4.73 | (5) | 4.77 | (14) | 0.496 | (9) | 46 | 47 | 44 | 49 | -2 | |
| Kansas City | 4.01 | (11) | 4.1 | (5) | 0.49 | (10) | 45 | 47 | 43 | 49 | -2 | |
| Toronto | 4.55 | (7) | 4.68 | (12) | 0.487 | (11) | 46 | 48 | 45 | 49 | -1 | |
| Minnesota | 4.21 | (10) | 4.74 | (13) | 0.446 | (12) | 41 | 51 | 39 | 53 | -2 | |
| Seattle | 4.01 | (12) | 4.6 | (11) | 0.437 | (13) | 42 | 53 | 43 | 52 | 1 | |
| Chicago Sox | 3.75 | (14) | 4.4 | (8) | 0.427 | (14) | 39 | 53 | 37 | 55 | -2 | |
| Houston | 3.73 | (15) | 5.26 | (15) | 0.349 | (15) | 33 | 61 | 33 | 61 | 0 | |
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Boston | 97 | 65 | |
| Oakland | 95 | 67 | |
| Tampa Bay | 93 | 69 | |
| Texas | 92 | 70 | |
| Detroit | 90 | 72 | |
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Boston | 96 | 66 | |
| Oakland | 94 | 68 | |
| Detroit | 92 | 70 | |
| Tampa Bay | 92 | 70 | |
| Texas | 89 | 73 | |
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual | | |
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | |
|---|
| Tampa Bay | 4.14 | (7) | 2.29 | (2) | 0.748 | (1) | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cleveland | 3.86 | (8) | 2.57 | (3) | 0.677 | (2) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Seattle | 6.86 | (1) | 5.71 | (15) | 0.583 | (3) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Baltimore | 5.14 | (3) | 4.86 | (12) | 0.526 | (4) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Boston | 5.71 | (2) | 5.43 | (14) | 0.523 | (5) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Chicago Sox | 4.71 | (4) | 4.71 | (8) | 0.5 | (6) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | |
| Detroit | 4.57 | (5) | 4.71 | (8) | 0.486 | (7) | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Minnesota | 3.57 | (11) | 3.71 | (4) | 0.482 | (8) | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | |
| NY Yankees | 3.57 | (11) | 3.86 | (5) | 0.465 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Oakland | 2 | (15) | 2.17 | (1) | 0.463 | (10) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Texas | 3.86 | (8) | 4.43 | (6) | 0.437 | (11) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Toronto | 3.83 | (10) | 4.83 | (11) | 0.396 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| LA Angels | 4.2 | (6) | 5.4 | (13) | 0.387 | (13) | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | |
| Kansas City | 2.86 | (13) | 4.57 | (7) | 0.297 | (14) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Houston | 2.8 | (14) | 4.8 | (10) | 0.272 | (15) | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
Labels: pythagorean, Red Sox
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