Another 3-3 week as they sprint to the finish line...
- So, if the Red Sox win their last six, and the Yankees lose their last seven, they'll have a one-game playoff for the Wild Card, right? Anyone know what the sports books in Las Vegas are offering as odds on that?
- I don't want anyone to misinterpret the following comment, which is just an observation of a noteworthy confluence of events. I do NOT think that there should be more Wild Card teams, nor that the playoff teams should be selected differently. I don't have a problem with the division set up, nor do I think a third place team should be in the post-season, nor do I think that the Boston Red Sox have any right to a playoff spot this year. Not complaining, not whining - they weren't good enough, tough season, that's life. OK? No complaints. But I will note this interesting juxtaposition for all of the Theo-bashers crying that the Sox front office didn't put together a good team - the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers each won on Saturday. They each finished the day with an 86-68 record. The Red Sox were playing out the string, having not yet been mathematically eliminated, but practically and essentially eliminated two weeks earlier. The Rangers clinched a division title and poured champagne.
- The season would have been different without the injuries, but that hasn't been the sole source of problems. There are a lot of lost wins on the balance sheets of Messrs. Beckett, Lackey and, most notably, Papelbon.
- Red Sox Player of the Week - Victor Martinez, who led the team with a .455/.571/.636/1.207 line, beats out honorable mention Ryan Kalish, who hit .400/.500/.600/1.100 and stole a couple of bases.
- Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - Nothing spectacular, but Jon Lester was outstanding, allowing no runs and just two hits in seven innings of work in New York.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/27/2010
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| New York | 5.31 | (1) | 4.21 | (4) | 0.604 | (1) | 94 | 62 | 93 | 63 | -1 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 5.08 | (2) | 4.07 | (3) | 0.6 | (2) | 93 | 62 | 93 | 62 | 0 |
|
| Minnesota | 4.88 | (5) | 4.03 | (2) | 0.587 | (3) | 91 | 64 | 92 | 63 | 1 |
|
| Texas | 4.9 | (4) | 4.24 | (5) | 0.566 | (4) | 88 | 67 | 87 | 68 | -1 |
|
| Boston | 5.06 | (3) | 4.57 | (10) | 0.546 | (5) | 85 | 70 | 86 | 69 | 1 |
|
| Chicago | 4.63 | (7) | 4.36 | (7) | 0.528 | (6) | 82 | 73 | 83 | 72 | 1 |
|
| Oakland | 4.06 | (11) | 3.92 | (1) | 0.516 | (7) | 80 | 75 | 77 | 78 | -3 |
|
| Detroit | 4.73 | (6) | 4.6 | (11) | 0.513 | (8) | 79 | 76 | 80 | 75 | 1 |
|
| Toronto | 4.61 | (8) | 4.53 | (9) | 0.508 | (9) | 79 | 76 | 80 | 75 | 1 |
|
| Los Angeles | 4.22 | (9) | 4.38 | (8) | 0.483 | (10) | 75 | 80 | 75 | 80 | 0 |
|
| Cleveland | 3.96 | (12) | 4.69 | (12) | 0.424 | (11) | 66 | 90 | 65 | 91 | -1 |
|
| Kansas City | 4.14 | (10) | 5.31 | (14) | 0.388 | (12) | 60 | 95 | 63 | 92 | 3 |
|
| Baltimore | 3.81 | (13) | 4.95 | (13) | 0.382 | (13) | 59 | 96 | 61 | 94 | 2 |
|
| Seattle | 3.17 | (14) | 4.26 | (6) | 0.368 | (14) | 57 | 98 | 59 | 96 | 2 |
|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| New York | 97 | 65 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 97 | 65 |
|
| Minnesota | 96 | 66 |
|
| Texas | 91 | 71 |
|
| Boston | 90 | 72 |
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| New York | 97 | 65 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 97 | 65 |
|
| Minnesota | 96 | 66 |
|
| Texas | 91 | 71 |
|
| Boston | 90 | 72 |
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| Detroit | 7.17 | (1) | 4.67 | (9) | 0.687 | (1) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 6 | (2) | 4.43 | (7) | 0.635 | (2) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Toronto | 4.17 | (8) | 3.17 | (2) | 0.623 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
|
| Texas | 5.14 | (4) | 4.29 | (6) | 0.583 | (4) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Boston | 4.83 | (6) | 4.83 | (10) | 0.5 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Baltimore | 4 | (10) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.481 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
|
| Chicago | 3 | (13) | 3.17 | (2) | 0.475 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
| Minnesota | 5.33 | (3) | 5.67 | (13) | 0.472 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Cleveland | 4.14 | (9) | 4.43 | (7) | 0.47 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Oakland | 4.71 | (7) | 5.14 | (11) | 0.46 | (10) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Los Angeles | 2.67 | (14) | 3 | (1) | 0.446 | (11) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
|
| New York | 5.14 | (4) | 6.57 | (14) | 0.39 | (12) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Seattle | 3.17 | (12) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.377 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Kansas City | 3.86 | (11) | 5.43 | (12) | 0.349 | (14) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
|
Labels: MLB, pythagorean, Red Sox
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