Monday, October 22, 2007

Championship series - objective ranking wrap-up

I ran the Bill James Playoff Predictor for the Division Series and the Championship Series games. I also looked at the Baseball Prospectus objective ranking system. Here's the wrap-up for the post-season so far. World Series post later today or tomorrow...

Bill James Playoff Predictor was 1-1 in the Championship Series round.

Right:
Boston (100) over Cleveland (39)

Wrong:
Arizona (77) lost to Colorado (30)



Baseball Prospectus' "Secret Sauce", which was 1-3 in the DS round, was 1-1 in the CS round.


Right:

Boston (7.5) over Cleveland (48)

Wrong:

Arizona (29) lost to Colorado (57)


For the post-season so far:

  • Bill James Playoff Predictor
    Boston (79) beat Los Angeles of Anaheim (33)
    Arizona (92) beat Chicago (33)
    Boston (100) over Cleveland (39)

    Wrong:
    New York (83) lost to Cleveland (60)
    Arizona (77) lost to Colorado (30)

    Tie (essentially):
    Colorado (58) beat Philadelphia (59)



  • Baseball Prospectus' "Secret Sauce"
    Right (lower is better):
    Boston (7.5) beat Los Angeles of Anaheim (27.5)
    Boston (7.5) over Cleveland (48)

    Wrong:
    New York (32.5) lost to Cleveland (48)
    Arizona (29) beat Chicago (22)
    Colorado (57) beat Philadelphia (49)
    Colorado (57) over Arizona (29)

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