Monday, September 01, 2008

Monday Pythagorean 9/1/2008

2 out of 3, consistently, gets you to the post-season.

  • Unless something radical happens, however, 2 out of 3 isn't going to win the AL East. The Rays just keep on rollin' along. Once again, the Red Sox have a better Pythagorean week, and once again, the deficit increases, as Tampa overperforms by one and Boston underperforms by one.


  • One of the things that has been a frustration is the inability to put together a prolonged winning streak. By the end of May, they had already put together winning streaks of 7, 6 and 5 games. Since then, they've won as many as 4 straight only once. The pattern continued this week - win 2, lose 1, win 2, lose 1.


  • They had a very good month of August. They finished at 18-9 (.667), while outscoring their opposition 170-118. And they lost 2 1/2 games in the standings in the process, as the Rays went 21-7.


  • Red Sox Player of the Month: Dustin Pedroia, who hit .374/.425/.635/1.06 with 6 HR and 33 runs scored.


  • Red Sox Pitcher of the Month: Daisuke Matsuzaka, who went 5-0 in 6 starts with an ERA of 2.25.


  • September 1, 2008. I am officially declaring the Yankees playoff streak over.





AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/1/2008
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Boston5.21(2)4.22(5)0.595(1)81557957-2

Tampa Bay4.72(9)3.99(2)0.576(2)785784516

Chicago5.1(4)4.39(6)0.568(3)775977590

Minnesota5.09(5)4.5(7)0.557(4)766177601

Toronto4.38(11)3.87(1)0.557(5)76607066-6

Los Angeles4.62(10)4.18(4)0.545(6)746283539

New York4.79(8)4.55(8)0.523(7)716572641

Cleveland4.85(7)4.64(9)0.521(8)70656570-5

Detroit5.01(6)5.04(12)0.498(9)68686670-2

Baltimore5.13(3)5.28(13)0.487(10)66706373-3

Oakland3.88(14)4.15(3)0.468(11)64736374-1

Texas5.48(1)5.94(14)0.463(12)647467713

Seattle4.15(12)4.99(10)0.417(13)57795383-4

Kansas City4.1(13)5.03(11)0.407(14)558157792




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Tampa Bay10161

Los Angeles9963

Boston9468

Chicago9270

Minnesota9171




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Tampa Bay10062

Los Angeles9765

Boston9468

Chicago9270

Minnesota9171




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Boston6.33(2)2.5(1)0.846(1)5142-1

Tampa Bay6.67(1)4(7)0.718(2)42511

Minnesota5.43(4)3.43(5)0.699(3)5234-2

Toronto3.67(11)2.67(2)0.642(4)4233-1

Seattle4.17(7)3.17(4)0.623(5)42511

Los Angeles4(9)3.14(3)0.609(6)43430

Cleveland5.33(5)4.5(8)0.577(7)33330

Texas3.86(10)3.43(5)0.554(8)43430

Kansas City4.17(7)4.5(8)0.465(9)3315-2

Baltimore5.67(3)8.17(14)0.339(10)24250

Detroit4.5(6)6.83(13)0.318(11)24240

Chicago3.5(12)6(12)0.272(12)24341

New York3.17(13)5.67(11)0.256(13)24240

Oakland3(14)5.57(10)0.244(14)25432

Labels: , , ,

|

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Comment?

<< Home

Links to this post

Links to this post:

Create a Link