2 out of 3, consistently, gets you to the post-season.
- Unless something radical happens, however, 2 out of 3 isn't going to win the AL East. The Rays just keep on rollin' along. Once again, the Red Sox have a better Pythagorean week, and once again, the deficit increases, as Tampa overperforms by one and Boston underperforms by one.
- One of the things that has been a frustration is the inability to put together a prolonged winning streak. By the end of May, they had already put together winning streaks of 7, 6 and 5 games. Since then, they've won as many as 4 straight only once. The pattern continued this week - win 2, lose 1, win 2, lose 1.
- They had a very good month of August. They finished at 18-9 (.667), while outscoring their opposition 170-118. And they lost 2 1/2 games in the standings in the process, as the Rays went 21-7.
- Red Sox Player of the Month: Dustin Pedroia, who hit .374/.425/.635/1.06 with 6 HR and 33 runs scored.
- Red Sox Pitcher of the Month: Daisuke Matsuzaka, who went 5-0 in 6 starts with an ERA of 2.25.
- September 1, 2008. I am officially declaring the Yankees playoff streak over.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/1/2008
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Boston | 5.21 | (2) | 4.22 | (5) | 0.595 | (1) | 81 | 55 | 79 | 57 | -2
| | Tampa Bay | 4.72 | (9) | 3.99 | (2) | 0.576 | (2) | 78 | 57 | 84 | 51 | 6
| | Chicago | 5.1 | (4) | 4.39 | (6) | 0.568 | (3) | 77 | 59 | 77 | 59 | 0
| | Minnesota | 5.09 | (5) | 4.5 | (7) | 0.557 | (4) | 76 | 61 | 77 | 60 | 1
| | Toronto | 4.38 | (11) | 3.87 | (1) | 0.557 | (5) | 76 | 60 | 70 | 66 | -6
| | Los Angeles | 4.62 | (10) | 4.18 | (4) | 0.545 | (6) | 74 | 62 | 83 | 53 | 9
| | New York | 4.79 | (8) | 4.55 | (8) | 0.523 | (7) | 71 | 65 | 72 | 64 | 1
| | Cleveland | 4.85 | (7) | 4.64 | (9) | 0.521 | (8) | 70 | 65 | 65 | 70 | -5
| | Detroit | 5.01 | (6) | 5.04 | (12) | 0.498 | (9) | 68 | 68 | 66 | 70 | -2
| | Baltimore | 5.13 | (3) | 5.28 | (13) | 0.487 | (10) | 66 | 70 | 63 | 73 | -3
| | Oakland | 3.88 | (14) | 4.15 | (3) | 0.468 | (11) | 64 | 73 | 63 | 74 | -1
| | Texas | 5.48 | (1) | 5.94 | (14) | 0.463 | (12) | 64 | 74 | 67 | 71 | 3
| | Seattle | 4.15 | (12) | 4.99 | (10) | 0.417 | (13) | 57 | 79 | 53 | 83 | -4
| | Kansas City | 4.1 | (13) | 5.03 | (11) | 0.407 | (14) | 55 | 81 | 57 | 79 | 2
| |
|---|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Tampa Bay | 101 | 61
|
| Los Angeles | 99 | 63
|
| Boston | 94 | 68
|
| Chicago | 92 | 70
|
| Minnesota | 91 | 71
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Tampa Bay | 100 | 62
|
| Los Angeles | 97 | 65
|
| Boston | 94 | 68
|
| Chicago | 92 | 70
|
| Minnesota | 91 | 71
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Boston | 6.33 | (2) | 2.5 | (1) | 0.846 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1
| | Tampa Bay | 6.67 | (1) | 4 | (7) | 0.718 | (2) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1
| | Minnesota | 5.43 | (4) | 3.43 | (5) | 0.699 | (3) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2
| | Toronto | 3.67 | (11) | 2.67 | (2) | 0.642 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1
| | Seattle | 4.17 | (7) | 3.17 | (4) | 0.623 | (5) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1
| | Los Angeles | 4 | (9) | 3.14 | (3) | 0.609 | (6) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0
| | Cleveland | 5.33 | (5) | 4.5 | (8) | 0.577 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Texas | 3.86 | (10) | 3.43 | (5) | 0.554 | (8) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0
| | Kansas City | 4.17 | (7) | 4.5 | (8) | 0.465 | (9) | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2
| | Baltimore | 5.67 | (3) | 8.17 | (14) | 0.339 | (10) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0
| | Detroit | 4.5 | (6) | 6.83 | (13) | 0.318 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Chicago | 3.5 | (12) | 6 | (12) | 0.272 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1
| | New York | 3.17 | (13) | 5.67 | (11) | 0.256 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Oakland | 3 | (14) | 5.57 | (10) | 0.244 | (14) | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2
| |
|---|
Labels: 2008, MLB, pythagorean, Red Sox
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Comment?
<< Home