Monday, September 04, 2006

Monday Pythagorean - 9/4

The death march that is the 2006 Red Sox season continues. This week's injury news featured David Ortiz' heart palpitations, John Lester's cancer, Curt Schilling's strained oblique and Jon Papelbon's strained shoulder. How bad have things gotten? This week's lineups featured Mark Loretta DHing and batting 3rd. There's really nothing else that needs be said...


I'm always eager for the NFL season to start, but I can hardly recall a time when it approached with such a promise of relief from what I've been watching.






AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 8/28/2006
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Detroit4.99(8)3.99(1)0.601(1)785281493

New York5.65(1)4.77(6)0.576(2)745476522

Chicago5.58(2)4.83(7)0.566(3)735675542

Minnesota5.08(7)4.41(3)0.565(4)725676524

Cleveland5.52(3)4.99(10)0.545(5)70586068-10

Oakland4.63(11)4.38(2)0.525(6)686174556

Boston5.4(4)5.14(11)0.523(7)676271584

Texas5.17(5)4.93(9)0.521(8)68636665-2

Toronto5.09(6)4.88(8)0.52(9)676268611

Los Angeles4.88(9)4.68(4)0.518(10)676369612

Seattle4.54(13)4.77(5)0.478(11)62676069-2

Baltimore4.86(10)5.5(13)0.444(12)577258711

Tampa Bay4.28(14)5.25(12)0.408(13)53775278-1

Kansas City4.57(12)5.98(14)0.38(14)50814784-3




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Detroit10161

New York9666

Minnesota9666

Chicago9468

Oakland9369




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit10062

New York9666

Minnesota9567

Chicago9468

Oakland9171




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Oakland4.67(5)2.67(1)0.736(1)42420

Detroit4.5(7)3.17(3)0.655(2)4233-1

Seattle3.67(12)2.83(2)0.616(3)42420

New York5.17(2)4(6)0.615(4)42420

Cleveland4.67(5)3.67(4)0.609(5)42511

Chicago6(1)4.83(9)0.598(6)42420

Texas5(4)4.83(9)0.516(7)33330

Toronto4(9)4.14(7)0.484(8)3425-1

Baltimore5.17(2)5.67(14)0.458(9)33330

Tampa Bay4.5(7)5(12)0.452(10)3324-1

Kansas City3.83(11)4.33(8)0.444(11)33330

Los Angeles4(9)5.5(13)0.358(12)24240

Minnesota2.33(13)3.67(4)0.304(13)24240

Boston2.14(14)4.86(11)0.183(14)16251

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