Monday, July 03, 2006

Monday Pythagorean 7/3/06

The Red Sox and Twins each went 16-2 in interleague play to match the 2002 A's for the best single-season interleague record. The Red Sox have been on a tremendous role, taking 1 from Philadelphia and 3 from the Mets this week to complete a 9-0 homestand. And following a slight bump when they lost the first game in Florida, they came back with two more wins.

  • The Yankees went 4-2 and lost 1 1/2 to the AL East leader on the week.


  • The Blue Jays remain 5 back, 6 in the loss column. They've gone 7-3 in their last 10 games and lost ground.


  • The Red Sox are 2 games away from the halfway point of their season.


  • 4 in Tampa Bay, 3 in Chicago leading into the All Star break. Boston's already played 42 road games vs. only 37 at home. Since they finish the "first half" with 7 more on the road, they'll come out of the break with 44 of their last 76 at home, where they're current sporting a 27-10 record. And they'll go into the All Star break with Schilling and Beckett pitching 4 of their 7 games on the week. They've got an excellent opportunity to increase their lead over the Yankees this week.





AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 7/3/2006
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Detroit5.26(6)3.8(1)0.644(1)532956263

Chicago5.89(1)4.64(4)0.607(2)493253284

New York5.62(3)4.66(6)0.585(3)463346330

Boston5.63(2)4.77(7)0.575(4)453450295

Toronto5.46(5)4.79(8)0.559(5)453646351

Minnesota5.01(8)4.55(3)0.544(6)443645351

Cleveland5.5(4)5.09(11)0.536(7)43373743-6

Seattle4.99(9)4.65(5)0.532(8)44394241-2

Texas5.09(7)5(10)0.508(9)42404141-1

Oakland4.4(12)4.47(2)0.492(10)404142392

Los Angeles4.49(11)4.89(9)0.462(11)374437440

Baltimore4.89(10)5.48(13)0.448(12)374638451

Tampa Bay4.32(14)5.2(12)0.416(13)344835471

Kansas City4.39(13)6.18(14)0.349(14)28522753-1




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Detroit11151

Chicago10656

Boston10359

New York9468

Toronto9270




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit10755

Chicago10260

Boston9864

New York9567

Toronto9171




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Minnesota8.17(1)2.67(1)0.886(1)51601

Toronto6.5(4)3.17(2)0.789(2)51510

Boston6.86(3)4(3)0.728(3)52611

Cleveland7.17(2)4.67(7)0.687(4)42420

Seattle5.83(8)4.17(4)0.649(5)42420

Detroit6.17(7)4.5(6)0.64(6)42511

New York5.33(9)4.17(4)0.611(7)42420

Chicago6.5(4)5.83(13)0.549(8)33421

Tampa Bay4.67(11)4.67(7)0.5(9)3324-1

Baltimore5.33(9)5.33(11)0.5(9)33330

Kansas City6.33(6)7(14)0.454(11)33330

Los Angeles4.17(12)5(10)0.417(12)33330

Texas2.17(14)4.83(9)0.187(13)15150

Oakland2.33(13)5.33(11)0.181(14)15150

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