Monday, June 26, 2006

Monday Pythagorean 6/26/06

Well, that's a nice week. Short, with 6 games scheduled and one of those rained out, but nice. The 5-0 week runs the winning streak to 8 games, and the lead in the East to 2 1/2 over the Yankees (and 4 1/2 over Toronto.)

  • The Beckett trade paid off in a different way for the Red Sox last night. Anibal Sanchez, who shut out the Yankees for 5 2/3 while making his Major League debut, was part of that deal. There will come a time when the Red Sox wish they had him back, because he's a real high-ceiling prospect, and he looked great last night. But you still make that deal every time, if you're in Boston's position.


  • I remain a skeptic that "clutch hitters" actually exist (obviously "clutch hitting" does, but whether it exists as a talent that some players possess - I'm skeptical), but David Ortiz makes it very hard not to believe. Like everyone else, he's had many failures in those situations, but it's hard to imagine anyone having hit more dramatic late-inning home runs than Ortiz has.


  • An interesting week ahead. 1 with the Phillies, 3 with the Mets who have the best record in the NL, and 3 with the red-hot young and streaking Marlins. Over the next 4 days, while Boston's playing 4 against Philadelphia and the Mets, the Yankees are hosting the currently woeful Braves for 3.







AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 6/26/2006
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Detroit5.18(7)3.75(1)0.644(1)492751252

Chicago5.84(1)4.55(3)0.613(2)462949263

New York5.64(2)4.7(5)0.583(3)43304231-1

Boston5.51(3)4.85(7)0.559(4)403244284

Toronto5.37(4)4.92(9)0.54(5)413441340

Texas5.32(6)5.01(10)0.527(6)403640360

Seattle4.92(8)4.69(4)0.522(7)40373839-2

Cleveland5.36(5)5.12(11)0.521(8)39353341-6

Oakland4.56(11)4.4(2)0.516(9)393641342

Minnesota4.76(10)4.7(6)0.505(10)373739352

Los Angeles4.52(12)4.88(8)0.465(11)35403441-1

Baltimore4.86(9)5.49(13)0.444(12)344335421

Tampa Bay4.29(13)5.24(12)0.41(13)314533432

Kansas City4.23(14)6.11(14)0.338(14)25492450-1




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Detroit10953

Chicago10656

Boston9963

New York9369

Toronto8973




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit10656

Chicago10260

New York9468

Boston9468

Toronto8874




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

6/26/2006 8:11:07 AM

Minnesota5.17(6)2.5(1)0.791(2)51510

Detroit6.17(5)3.17(4)0.772(3)51510

Chicago9.33(1)5(11)0.758(4)51510

Seattle6.33(4)4(7)0.699(5)42420

Kansas City7.5(3)4.83(10)0.691(6)42511

Los Angeles5(7)3.83(6)0.619(7)4233-1

Tampa Bay3.67(12)3(3)0.591(8)42420

New York4(10)3.67(5)0.54(9)33421

Toronto4.5(8)4.5(9)0.5(10)33421

Texas4.33(9)5.33(14)0.406(11)24240

Baltimore3.5(13)4.33(8)0.404(12)24331

Oakland4(10)5(11)0.399(13)24331

Cleveland3.33(14)5(11)0.323(14)24240


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