Week 2 was a dismal, dreadul week, a 1-5 week that seemed somehow even worse.
- For the week, the horrible offense was a little worse than the horrible pitching/defense. For the season, the horrible pitching/defense has been a little worse than the horrible offense.
- The Red Sox started the season with two centerfielders. They played most of this week without either of them, due to injury. That didn't help. Bill Hall shouldn't ever be playing against right-handed pitching, but they left themselves without any other options.
- The game that started Friday and ended Saturday was as excruciatingly painful as it is possible for a baseball game to be. Tampa scored on back-to-back two out ground balls which weren't handled by infielders. Boston got a no out double from Ortiz with a runner on but had the runner thrown out at the plate, and ended up not scoring. The played more than two innings in dreadful weather and then, with no change in the weather, the game was suspended for the night. The next night, Ortiz missed a walk-off HR by pulling a ball about 15 feet foul. Two innings later, they loaded the bases with no outs and failed to score on a couple of ground balls. And then the Burrell HR came with a runner on, so they went to the bottom of the twelfth down two instead of just one. Just ugly in almost every way that it's possible for a game to be.
- The Ortiz situation is very bad. But if it were just David, they'd be still scoring some runs. What's scary is that Victor Martinez has been very little better, and JD Drew's been worse. Cameron hasn't been very good, neither has Ellsbury, and both missed most of the week anyway. Youkilis started hot, but has been bad for a week and a half. It's been a very painful stretch.
- All of that said, here's the thing to remember. If they had this two week performance in August, it would be easier to have perspective about it, because you'd be able to look at the numbers and that would not be all that there was to see. But right now, it is. So, as bad as it's been, it looks even worse.
- Red Sox Player of the Week - No one. Varitek was good, Pedroia was good, but I'm not giving anyone an award for a week that bad.
- Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - No one. Lackey had a good start and Beckett a very good one, but I'm not giving anyone an award for a week that bad.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 4/19/2010
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| New York | 5.75 | (1) | 3.67 | (3) | 0.695 | (1) | 8 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
|
| Minnesota | 5.31 | (2) | 3.62 | (2) | 0.669 | (2) | 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 5.17 | (4) | 3.83 | (4) | 0.633 | (3) | 8 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
|
| Oakland | 4.43 | (6) | 3.36 | (1) | 0.624 | (4) | 9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
|
| Texas | 3.83 | (11) | 3.83 | (4) | 0.5 | (5) | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
|
| Toronto | 4.38 | (7) | 4.46 | (9) | 0.492 | (6) | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
|
| Chicago | 4.08 | (8) | 4.23 | (8) | 0.483 | (7) | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -2 |
|
| Detroit | 4.83 | (5) | 5.08 | (11) | 0.477 | (8) | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
|
| Cleveland | 3.75 | (12) | 4.17 | (7) | 0.452 | (9) | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
|
| Seattle | 3.46 | (13) | 3.85 | (6) | 0.452 | (9) | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
|
| Kansas City | 5.25 | (3) | 5.92 | (14) | 0.446 | (11) | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
|
| Boston | 4 | (9) | 5.08 | (11) | 0.392 | (12) | 5 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -1 |
|
| Los Angeles | 4 | (9) | 5.31 | (13) | 0.373 | (13) | 5 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
|
| Baltimore | 3.23 | (14) | 5.08 | (10) | 0.304 | (14) | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -2 |
|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| New York | 122 | 40 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 122 | 40 |
|
| Minnesota | 112 | 50 |
|
| Oakland | 104 | 58 |
|
| Detroit | 95 | 67 |
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| New York | 113 | 49 |
|
| Minnesota | 109 | 53 |
|
| Tampa Bay | 104 | 58 |
|
| Oakland | 101 | 61 |
|
| Texas | 80 | 82 |
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| Tampa Bay | 6.33 | (2) | 2.5 | (1) | 0.846 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
|
| New York | 5.5 | (4) | 3 | (3) | 0.752 | (2) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
|
| Seattle | 4 | (7) | 2.5 | (1) | 0.703 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
|
| Minnesota | 6.17 | (3) | 4.33 | (8) | 0.656 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
|
| Cleveland | 3.83 | (9) | 3.33 | (5) | 0.564 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
| Kansas City | 6.67 | (1) | 5.83 | (13) | 0.561 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Los Angeles | 4.67 | (5) | 4.17 | (7) | 0.552 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
| Oakland | 3.29 | (11) | 3.14 | (4) | 0.52 | (8) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
| Chicago | 4.57 | (6) | 5 | (9) | 0.459 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
|
| Texas | 3 | (13) | 4 | (6) | 0.371 | (10) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Toronto | 4 | (7) | 5.71 | (12) | 0.342 | (11) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
|
| Baltimore | 3.29 | (11) | 5.57 | (11) | 0.276 | (12) | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
|
| Detroit | 3.83 | (9) | 6.5 | (14) | 0.276 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Boston | 2.5 | (14) | 5.33 | (10) | 0.2 | (14) | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
|
Labels: pythagorean, Red Sox
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