Monday, April 06, 2009

MLB predictions - the "wisdom of crowds" approach

For easy reference, a gather list of MLB predictions from various baseball pundits..



Gathered list of pundit predictions
SourcePunditAL EastAL CentralAL WestAL Wild CardNL EastNL CentralNL WestNL WC

ESPNKeith LawBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesSt. Louis

MLB NetworkAl LeiterNY YankeesMinnesotaLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

MLB NetworkDan PlesacBostonKansas CityLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaNY Mets

MLB NetworkMitch WilliamsNY YankeesDetroitLAnaheimBostonPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

MLB NetworkJoe MagraneTampaClevelandLAnaheimBostonPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaAtlanta

MLB NetworkTom VerducciNY YankeesMinnesotaLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

MLB NetworkJohn HartBostonClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesSan Francisco

MLB NetworkHarold ReynoldsNY YankeesChicagoLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesArizona

MLB NetworkSean CaseyBostonClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesSt. Louis

MLB NetworkBarry LarkinNY YankeesClevelandLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Sports IllustratedStaffNY YankeesMinnesotaLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comTom VerducciNY YankeesMinnesotaLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comJon HeymanBostonMinnesotaLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaNY Mets

CNNSI.comTed KeithNY YankeesClevelandLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comJoe Posnanski TampaClevelandLAnaheimBostonNY MetsSt. LouisLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comGennaro Filice BostonMinnesotaLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaNY Mets

CNNSI.comCliff Corcoran BostonChicagoLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaNY Mets

CNNSI.comBen Reiter BostonMinnesotaLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comDavid Sabino TampaMinnesotaLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comJoe Lemire BostonChicagoLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

CNNSI.comAlbert Chen BostonDetroitOaklandTampaNY MetsChicagoArizonaLos Angeles

CNNSI.comLee Jenkins NY YankeesMinnesotaLAnaheimClevelandNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comMelissa Segura NY YankeesChicagoLAnaheimTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CNNSI.comJonah Freedman TampaClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

CBS Sportsline.comScott MillerBostonClevelandLAnaheimTampaPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

CBS Sportsline.comDanny KnoblerBostonDetroitLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoArizonaLos Angeles

CBS Sportsline.comEric MackBostonClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoArizonaNY Mets

CBS Sportsline.comAdriane RosenBostonClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoArizonaPhiladelphia

Baseball ProspectusWilliam BurkeNY YankeesClevelandTexasBostonNY MetsSt. LouisLos AngelesChicago

Baseball ProspectusWill CarrollBostonChicagoOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoArizonaMilwaukee

Baseball ProspectusClay DavenportBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Baseball ProspectusSteve GoldmanBostonClevelandOaklandTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Baseball ProspectusKevin GoldsteinNY YankeesClevelandLAnaheimBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Baseball ProspectusGary HuckabayBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Baseball ProspectusJay JaffeTampaClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Baseball ProspectusChristina KahrlBostonChicagoLAnaheimTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Baseball ProspectusDavid LaurilaTampaClevelandTexasBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Baseball ProspectusMarc NormandinBostonClevelandLAnaheimTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Baseball ProspectusJohn PerrottoBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

Baseball ProspectusJoe SheehanBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

LyfLinesLyford BeverageBostonMinnesotaOaklandNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Hardball TimesStaff picksBostonClevelandLAnaheimNY YankeesNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Beyond the Box ScoreR.J. AndersonBostonClevelandOaklandTampaNY MetsChicagoArizonaAtlanta

Beyond the Box ScoreGraham GoldbeckBostonMinnesotaOaklandTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Beyond the Box ScoreSky KalkmanBostonClevelandOaklandTampaNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesAtlanta

Beyond the Box ScoreErik ManningBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

Beyond the Box ScoreHarry PavlidisNY YankeesClevelandOaklandBostonNY MetsChicagoLos AngelesPhiladelphia

Beyond the Box ScoreDan TurkenkopfBostonClevelandOaklandNY YankeesPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

Baseball MusingsDavid PintoNY YankeesClevelandLAnaheimBostonPhiladelphiaChicagoLos AngelesNY Mets

CNNSI.comPeter KingNY YankeesClevelandLAnaheimTampaPhiladelphiaSt. LouisLos AngelesArizona





"Consensus"
AL EastAL CentralAL WestNL WCNL EastNL CentralNL WestNL WC

Boston (29)Cleveland (28)LAnaheim (32)NY Yankees (23)NY Mets (36)Chicago (47)Los Angeles (38)Philadelphia (19)

NY Yankees (14)Minnesota (11)Oakland (15)Boston (16)Philadelphia (13)St. Louis (2)Arizona (11)NY Mets (12)

Tampa (6)Chicago (6)Texas (2)Tampa (9)Florida (0)Milwaukee (0)Colorado (0)Atlanta (10)

Baltimore (0)Detroit (3)Seattle (0)Cleveland (1)Washington (0)Houston (0)San Diego (0)St. Louis (2)

Toronto (0)Kansas City (1) Atlanta (0)Pittsburgh (0)San Francisco (0)Los Angeles (2)

Cincinnati (0)Arizona (1)

San Francisco (1)

Milwaukee (1)

Chicago (1)


Most picked to win division: Chicago Cubs
Most predicted division winners: AL Central, where all five teams are being picked by someone.
Teams that no one picks to make the playoffs: Ten (Baltimore, Toronto, Seattle, Florida, Washington, Houston, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Colorado, San Diego)
Division most picked to win Wild Card: AL East - 48 of 49 expected the AL Wild Card to come out of the East.

UPDATE: (4/7 - Added Peter King, now up to 50)

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