A nice quiet week, with a good 4-2 record. Nothing to talk about...
Yeah, right.
- The sweep in Seattle was noteworthy for two reasons, that it allowed them to come home with a .500 record on their post-All Star Game road trip, and that it has faded utterly from memory less than a week later.
- Oh, and Manny took one of his "mental health days" in the last game of the trip.
- So. We have to talk about Manny. Again. Let me just say this: He has been one of the best and most valuable players in baseball over the length of his contract. The Red Sox have one of the best records in baseball over the length of his contract. They've won two World Series, and are a top contender to win a third while Manny's been here. Manny's hit .321/.422/.558/.980 in 43 post-season games. By all accounts, he's a hard worker. He's a mediocre (or worse) outfielder, but one of the best hitters in the game. Since Manny put on a Red Sox uniform, he's one of four Major League players with 1000 hits, 500 BB, 250 HR, 800 RBI and 700 runs scored. He's hit .312/.411/.588/.999. He's 8th in OBP, 5th in SLG, 4th in HR and 3rd in RBI. He's not a perfect player or a perfect teammate, and the two-three "mental health days" that he takes must be irritating for the rest of the team. That said, the positive vastly exceeds the negative, and any legitimate criticism of him in the Boston press is quickly drowned out by the over-the-top and incredibly tiresome Manny-bashing. WEEI ends up spending a week every season, devoting 24 hours a day to all of the reasons that Manny should be run out of town. It tired, irritating, and, even worse, boring. It's been done, guys - give it a rest...
- Obviously disappointing to lose two of three to the Yankees, but those things happen. I hate whining about the umpiring, but Marty Foster did not have a good night on Friday. There were at least four Red Sox batters called out, including two of the last six, on pitches that were clearly well out of the strike zone. Saturday was just a "Wakefield doesn't have it" game, and that's what those look like. Sunday was the reverse. Overall, the Yankees picked up one game over the three-game series. Not a big deal.
- Since April 24, Jon Lester has started 16 games. He's 8-1 with a 2.51 ERA. He's pitched 107 2/3 innings, striking out 80 and only walking 26. Among pitchers with 10+ starts over that span, he's 7th in ERA. Johann Santana, for whom Lester was not traded in the off-season, is 12th with a 2.87 ERA.
- I mentioned the Yankees grueling travel schedule last week. Well, after having finally left home (for three games only, visiting a city which is a 45 minute flight away) they're right back in the Stadium. A week from today, they'll have 19 left at home and 32 on the road.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 7/28/2008
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual |
|
---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
---|
Boston | 4.99 | (4) | 4.09 | (3) | 0.59 | (1) | 62 | 44 | 61 | 45 | -1
|
Chicago | 5 | (3) | 4.2 | (7) | 0.579 | (2) | 60 | 43 | 59 | 44 | -1
|
Oakland | 4.25 | (12) | 3.8 | (1) | 0.551 | (3) | 57 | 47 | 53 | 51 | -4
|
New York | 4.68 | (7) | 4.19 | (6) | 0.55 | (4) | 57 | 47 | 58 | 46 | 1
|
Tampa Bay | 4.49 | (9) | 4.12 | (4) | 0.54 | (5) | 56 | 48 | 61 | 43 | 5
|
Los Angeles | 4.49 | (9) | 4.13 | (5) | 0.538 | (6) | 56 | 48 | 64 | 40 | 8
|
Toronto | 4.3 | (11) | 3.98 | (2) | 0.536 | (7) | 56 | 49 | 53 | 52 | -3
|
Detroit | 5.04 | (2) | 4.72 | (11) | 0.53 | (8) | 55 | 49 | 53 | 51 | -2
|
Minnesota | 4.9 | (5) | 4.68 | (10) | 0.521 | (9) | 54 | 50 | 57 | 47 | 3
|
Cleveland | 4.58 | (8) | 4.58 | (8) | 0.5 | (10) | 52 | 51 | 45 | 58 | -7
|
Baltimore | 4.73 | (6) | 4.93 | (13) | 0.481 | (11) | 50 | 54 | 49 | 55 | -1
|
Texas | 5.57 | (1) | 5.87 | (14) | 0.476 | (12) | 50 | 55 | 54 | 51 | 4
|
Kansas City | 4.16 | (13) | 4.92 | (12) | 0.424 | (13) | 45 | 61 | 47 | 59 | 2
|
Seattle | 3.91 | (14) | 4.63 | (9) | 0.423 | (14) | 44 | 60 | 39 | 65 | -5
|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Los Angeles | 100 | 62
|
Tampa Bay | 95 | 67
|
Boston | 93 | 69
|
Chicago | 93 | 69
|
New York | 90 | 72
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Los Angeles | 95 | 67
|
Boston | 94 | 68
|
Chicago | 93 | 69
|
Tampa Bay | 92 | 70
|
New York | 90 | 72
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual |
|
---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
---|
Detroit | 8.33 | (1) | 3.83 | (3) | 0.806 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1
|
New York | 6.33 | (3) | 3.17 | (2) | 0.78 | (2) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0
|
Boston | 4.33 | (10) | 3 | (1) | 0.662 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
|
Toronto | 5.57 | (6) | 4.29 | (5) | 0.618 | (4) | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1
|
Texas | 7.33 | (2) | 6.17 | (10) | 0.579 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
|
Chicago | 6.33 | (3) | 5.5 | (7) | 0.564 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
|
Los Angeles | 6.33 | (3) | 5.67 | (8) | 0.551 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
|
Tampa Bay | 3.14 | (12) | 3.86 | (4) | 0.407 | (8) | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1
|
Baltimore | 4.86 | (7) | 6.29 | (12) | 0.384 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1
|
Cleveland | 4.83 | (8) | 6.33 | (13) | 0.379 | (10) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
|
Oakland | 4.5 | (9) | 6.17 | (10) | 0.36 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
|
Minnesota | 4.33 | (10) | 6 | (9) | 0.355 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
|
Seattle | 2.83 | (14) | 4.67 | (6) | 0.286 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1
|
Kansas City | 3.14 | (12) | 6.57 | (14) | 0.206 | (14) | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1
|
Labels: 2008, MLB, pythagorean, Red Sox
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