A 5-2 week for the Red Sox was pretty good. But it could have been a great 5-2 week, if they'd lost the 2 against Tampa instead of New York.
- For all the moaning in NY about how decimated they've been by injury, they took the field Tuesday night with one (1) significant player on the DL - Hidecki Matsui. Yes, Tanyon Sturtze and Carl Pavano are still DL'ed. Pardon my yawns. Now, if Posada hits the DL, that hurts them. If Damon hits the DL, that hurts them. But thus far, they've missed 3 weeks of Sheffield and two (so far) of Matsui. It's not that big a deal...
- The Tigers continue to roll. I remain skeptical. While they're obviously much improved over what they've been the past few years, and they do have some young players, the kind of players who can make the performance leaps necessary to significantly improve a team, I think that they've been the beneficiary of one of the easiest early-season schedules in baseball. Their record is currently 35-15. They are 22-5 against the woeful Royals, and two other AL central teams who got off to horrible starts, Cleveland and Minnesota. They're 12-10 against the rest of their schedule, and they haven't yet played any games against Boston, NY or Toronto, and of their 30 games inside their own division, only 3 have been against the White Sox. I think that the Tigers are a decent-to-good team, that they'll finish with a good record, but they won't finish ahead of Boston or New York.
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 5/29/2006
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual |
|
---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
---|
Detroit | 5.12 | (7) | 3.56 | (1) | 0.66 | (1) | 33 | 17 | 35 | 15 | 2
|
New York | 5.96 | (1) | 4.71 | (4) | 0.606 | (2) | 29 | 19 | 28 | 20 | -1
|
Chicago | 5.53 | (4) | 4.39 | (2) | 0.604 | (3) | 30 | 19 | 32 | 17 | 2
|
Cleveland | 5.8 | (2) | 5 | (8) | 0.567 | (4) | 28 | 21 | 24 | 25 | -4
|
Boston | 5.52 | (5) | 4.77 | (5) | 0.566 | (5) | 27 | 21 | 30 | 18 | 3
|
Toronto | 5.55 | (3) | 4.94 | (7) | 0.553 | (6) | 27 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 0
|
Texas | 5.16 | (6) | 4.88 | (6) | 0.526 | (7) | 26 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 0
|
Oakland | 4.46 | (11) | 4.7 | (3) | 0.476 | (8) | 24 | 26 | 23 | 27 | -1
|
Seattle | 4.5 | (10) | 5.04 | (9) | 0.448 | (9) | 23 | 29 | 22 | 30 | -1
|
Minnesota | 4.76 | (9) | 5.43 | (12) | 0.44 | (10) | 22 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 1
|
Baltimore | 5 | (8) | 5.76 | (13) | 0.435 | (11) | 22 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 1
|
Los Angeles | 4.42 | (12) | 5.14 | (10) | 0.431 | (12) | 22 | 28 | 21 | 29 | -1
|
Tampa Bay | 4.12 | (13) | 5.41 | (11) | 0.378 | (13) | 19 | 32 | 21 | 30 | 2
|
Kansas City | 3.88 | (14) | 6.52 | (14) | 0.278 | (14) | 13 | 35 | 11 | 37 | -2
|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Detroit | 113 | 49
|
Chicago | 106 | 56
|
Boston | 101 | 61
|
New York | 95 | 67
|
Toronto | 89 | 73
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit | 109 | 53
|
Chicago | 100 | 62
|
New York | 97 | 65
|
Boston | 95 | 67
|
Toronto | 90 | 72
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | Projected | Actual |
|
---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
---|
Cleveland | 5.8 | (5) | 3.4 | (1) | 0.727 | (1) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2
|
Detroit | 6.57 | (2) | 4.14 | (3) | 0.699 | (2) | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1
|
Los Angeles | 6.33 | (3) | 4 | (2) | 0.699 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
|
Toronto | 5.67 | (6) | 4.33 | (5) | 0.62 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
|
New York | 7.83 | (1) | 6 | (12) | 0.62 | (5) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
|
Boston | 6.14 | (4) | 4.71 | (6) | 0.619 | (6) | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1
|
Chicago | 4.67 | (9) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.552 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
|
Texas | 4.86 | (8) | 5.14 | (8) | 0.474 | (8) | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1
|
Baltimore | 5.14 | (7) | 5.71 | (10) | 0.452 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0
|
Minnesota | 4.4 | (11) | 5 | (7) | 0.442 | (10) | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2
|
Oakland | 4 | (12) | 5.29 | (9) | 0.375 | (11) | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2
|
Tampa Bay | 4 | (12) | 5.86 | (11) | 0.332 | (12) | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1
|
Seattle | 4 | (12) | 6 | (12) | 0.323 | (13) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0
|
Kansas City | 4.57 | (10) | 8.86 | (14) | 0.23 | (14) | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1
|
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