Monday, May 15, 2006

Monday Pythagorean Report - 5/15

For the the Red Sox, 3 games in NY, winning 2 of them, makes this a decent week. The weekend was, however, a total washout - literally. They lost a game Friday night that should have been stopped in the 3rd inning, but wasn't. They were called off the field trailing in the bottom of the 6th, and it goes into the books as a loss, and that was the last time that they played.

Because of the rainouts, there's basically nothing to add to my analysis of the my analysis of the Red Sox/Yankee series. Matt Clement struggled on Friday, but really had only one bad inning, the 3rd, where he gave up 3 runs. No runs allowed in the 1st, 4th and 5th, and a solo HR in the 2nd. Not a good outing, but not the disaster that some have made it out to be. Had the Red Sox managed a hit when they had runners at 2nd and 3rd with 1 out in the 3rd, and again with the same situation in the 4th, they'd have been tied 4-4 after 5, and people wouldn't have been quite so hasty and vocal about Clement's shortcomings.

This week, there are 3 in Baltimore (and it looks as though they'll be able to play tonight.) Then the (unfortunate) opening of interleague play with 3 in Philadelphia. I don't like interleague play. I don't like it at all. There are no interleague series that interest me, and I think it's a gimmick, and it skews competition, and it turns me off greatly. But they're going to do it anyway...










AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 5/15/2006
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Detroit4.97(8)3.43(1)0.663(1)25122413-1

New York5.8(3)4.26(2)0.638(2)22132114-1

Chicago5.64(4)4.5(3)0.602(3)221424122

Toronto5.86(2)5.03(9)0.57(4)211621160

Boston5.26(6)4.83(6)0.539(5)191621142

Cleveland5.92(1)5.45(10)0.538(6)20181721-3

Texas5.25(7)4.89(7)0.533(7)191719170

Seattle4.41(11)4.62(4)0.479(8)19201722-2

Oakland4.51(10)4.78(5)0.473(9)181918190

Baltimore5.26(5)5.84(13)0.452(10)172118201

Los Angeles4.32(12)4.95(8)0.438(11)17211622-1

Minnesota4.73(9)5.51(11)0.43(12)162117201

Tampa Bay4.03(13)5.58(12)0.355(13)132515232

Kansas City3.83(14)6.03(14)0.303(14)11241025-1




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Chicago10854

Detroit10557

New York9765

Boston9765

Toronto9270




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit10755

New York10260

Chicago10062

Toronto9270

Boston8973




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Toronto6.29(3)3.57(2)0.738(1)52520

Minnesota8(1)4.67(4)0.728(2)42420

Detroit4.6(10)3.2(1)0.66(3)32411

Seattle5.83(5)4.17(3)0.649(4)42420

Baltimore7(2)5(7)0.649(4)32411

Boston5.5(8)4.75(5)0.567(6)22220

Texas5(9)5.75(10)0.436(7)22220

Oakland4.17(11)4.83(6)0.433(8)3324-1

Kansas City6.17(4)7.17(13)0.432(9)33330

Los Angeles5.67(6)6.67(12)0.426(10)3324-1

Chicago5.6(7)7.6(14)0.364(11)23230

Cleveland4(12)5.83(11)0.334(12)2406-2

New York3.33(13)5.17(8)0.31(13)24331

Tampa Bay2.17(14)5.17(8)0.169(14)15241

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