Friday, September 30, 2005

Post-Friday play-off scenarios

Well, we're down to 2 days, 4 games, to determine 2 play-off spots from among 3 teams. With Boston's 5-3 win over New York and Cleveland's 3-2 loss to Chicago, this is where we stand:



Standings
WL

Boston9466

New York9466

Cleveland9367


9 possible combinations left:


Play-off Scenarios
Red SoxIndiansResult

2-02-0Boston wins East, Cleveland wins WC

1-1Boston wins East, Cleveland/NY play 1-game play-off for WC

0-2Boston wins East, NY wins WC

1-12-0Boston/NY play-off for the East, Cleveland plays loser (NY@CLE or CLE@BOS) for WC

1-1, 0-2NY wins East, Boston wins WC

0-22-0New York wins East, Cleveland wins WC

1-1New York wins East, Boston/Cleveland play 1-game play-off for WC

0-2New York wins East, Boston wins WC



The Indians are in the worst shape. They need to go 2-0 or hope that the remaining 2 games of the Red Sox/Yankee series are swept to still be playing next week. The Red Sox and Yankees need only split to guarantee that they, at the least, get to a play-in game or two.

Boston's win tonight also guarantees that Sunday's game at Fenway is a meaningful game - no one can clinch the east tomorrow. So the AL East will come down to the final day (and maybe beyond...)

OOPsdate:
Where that said "no one can clinch the east tomorrow" was wrong. What it should have said was "neither team can guarantee finishing with a better record tomorrow."

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