Monday Pythagorean Report
Projected | Actual | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | |
Cleveland | 4.96 | (4) | 4.01 | (2) | 0.596 | (1) | 93 | 63 | 92 | 64 | -1 |
Oakland | 4.81 | (5) | 4.08 | (4) | 0.575 | (2) | 89 | 66 | 85 | 70 | -4 |
Anaheim | 4.67 | (8) | 3.99 | (1) | 0.571 | (3) | 89 | 66 | 89 | 66 | 0 |
Chicago | 4.61 | (9) | 4.05 | (3) | 0.558 | (4) | 87 | 68 | 94 | 61 | 7 |
New York | 5.45 | (2) | 4.81 | (8) | 0.557 | (5) | 86 | 69 | 91 | 64 | 5 |
Boston | 5.65 | (1) | 4.99 | (11) | 0.556 | (6) | 86 | 69 | 91 | 64 | 5 |
Toronto | 4.73 | (6) | 4.39 | (6) | 0.534 | (7) | 83 | 72 | 76 | 79 | -7 |
Minnesota | 4.24 | (14) | 4.1 | (5) | 0.515 | (8) | 80 | 75 | 78 | 77 | -2 |
Texas | 5.39 | (3) | 5.31 | (12) | 0.507 | (9) | 79 | 77 | 77 | 79 | -2 |
Seattle | 4.36 | (12) | 4.65 | (7) | 0.471 | (10) | 73 | 83 | 67 | 89 | -6 |
Detroit | 4.55 | (10) | 4.86 | (9) | 0.469 | (11) | 73 | 82 | 69 | 86 | -4 |
Baltimore | 4.43 | (11) | 4.9 | (10) | 0.455 | (12) | 70 | 85 | 70 | 85 | 0 |
Tampa Bay | 4.7 | (7) | 5.83 | (14) | 0.403 | (13) | 63 | 93 | 65 | 91 | 2 |
Kansas City | 4.34 | (13) | 5.79 | (13) | 0.371 | (14) | 57 | 98 | 53 | 102 | -4 |
Chicago | 98 | 64 |
Cleveland | 96 | 66 |
New York | 95 | 67 |
Boston | 95 | 67 |
Anaheim | 93 | 69 |
Chicago | 98 | 64 |
Cleveland | 96 | 66 |
New York | 95 | 67 |
Boston | 95 | 67 |
Anaheim | 93 | 69 |
Projected | Actual | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | |
Boston | 7.5 | (2) | 4.33 | (5) | 0.732 | (1) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Cleveland | 7.71 | (1) | 4.71 | (7) | 0.711 | (2) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
New York | 5.86 | (3) | 4.14 | (3) | 0.653 | (3) | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Anaheim | 5.5 | (4) | 4.33 | (5) | 0.607 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Detroit | 4.14 | (10) | 3.86 | (1) | 0.533 | (5) | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 |
Texas | 4.17 | (9) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.5 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
Chicago | 4 | (11) | 4 | (2) | 0.5 | (6) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Kansas City | 5.5 | (4) | 5.75 | (12) | 0.48 | (8) | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Toronto | 4.43 | (8) | 5.14 | (9) | 0.432 | (9) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Oakland | 4.83 | (7) | 5.67 | (11) | 0.428 | (10) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Tampa Bay | 5.5 | (4) | 7.33 | (14) | 0.371 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Minnesota | 3.71 | (13) | 5 | (8) | 0.367 | (12) | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
Seattle | 3.29 | (14) | 5.14 | (9) | 0.306 | (13) | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Baltimore | 3.86 | (12) | 6.14 | (13) | 0.299 | (14) | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -2 |
So it's come to this. The Red Sox and Yankees are in a flat-footed tie, with 7 games left. The last 3 are head-to-head in Boston. What we have this week is essentially an extra play-off round - whoever wins this 7 game set wins the east.
Advantage: Red Sox - all 7 of their games are at home, while the Yankees are on the road for all 7 of theirs.
Advantage: Yankees - the next 4 nights, they're in Baltimore, where the Orioles have essentially folded their tents. The Red Sox are at home, but playing a much better team that is at least trying to keep their dignity intact.
Advantage: Red Sox - the last 3 are in Boston.
If there are opposing sweeps, the series in Boston next weekend would be meaningless, but that's very unlikely. More likely is the teams being tied or within 1 game of each other Friday night.
It's going to be very difficult for the 2nd place team in the east to make it in. Both teams are tied in the loss column with the Indians right now, but the 2nd place team HAS to lose 2 more - at least. If the Indians go 4-2 on the week, they're guaranteed at least a tie with the East loser. 5-1 clinches a post-season berth for Cleveland. As of today, it looks like the White Sox, Indians, Angels and one of the Red Sox or Yankees, make the play-offs in the AL...
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