Monday Pythagorean Report
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 8/15/2005
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Chicago | 4.82 | (6) | 3.99 | (2) | 0.585 | (1) | 67 | 48 | 74 | 41 | 7
| | Anaheim | 4.78 | (7) | 3.98 | (1) | 0.582 | (2) | 68 | 49 | 68 | 49 | 0
| | Oakland | 4.85 | (5) | 4.15 | (4) | 0.572 | (3) | 67 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 0
| | Toronto | 4.95 | (4) | 4.24 | (6) | 0.57 | (4) | 67 | 50 | 61 | 56 | -6
| | Boston | 5.74 | (1) | 4.98 | (10) | 0.564 | (5) | 65 | 50 | 68 | 47 | 3
| | Cleveland | 4.64 | (10) | 4.2 | (5) | 0.545 | (6) | 64 | 54 | 63 | 55 | -1
| | New York | 5.47 | (3) | 5.01 | (11) | 0.54 | (7) | 63 | 53 | 64 | 52 | 1
| | Minnesota | 4.33 | (12) | 4.11 | (3) | 0.524 | (8) | 61 | 56 | 60 | 57 | -1
| | Texas | 5.53 | (2) | 5.44 | (12) | 0.508 | (9) | 59 | 58 | 56 | 61 | -3
| | Detroit | 4.56 | (11) | 4.59 | (7) | 0.497 | (10) | 58 | 58 | 55 | 61 | -3
| | Baltimore | 4.65 | (9) | 4.91 | (9) | 0.475 | (11) | 56 | 61 | 57 | 60 | 1
| | Seattle | 4.3 | (13) | 4.68 | (8) | 0.461 | (12) | 54 | 62 | 49 | 67 | -5
| | Tampa Bay | 4.66 | (8) | 5.92 | (14) | 0.393 | (13) | 46 | 72 | 46 | 72 | 0
| | Kansas City | 4.27 | (14) | 5.84 | (13) | 0.361 | (14) | 42 | 74 | 38 | 78 | -4
| |
|---|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Chicago | 104 | 58
|
| Boston | 96 | 66
|
| Anaheim | 94 | 68
|
| Oakland | 93 | 69
|
| New York | 89 | 73
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Chicago | 102 | 60
|
| Boston | 95 | 67
|
| Anaheim | 94 | 68
|
| Oakland | 93 | 69
|
| New York | 89 | 73
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Anaheim | 6.83 | (2) | 3.67 | (4) | 0.758 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1
| | Boston | 10.2 | (1) | 6 | (11) | 0.725 | (2) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1
| | Toronto | 5.57 | (3) | 3.43 | (2) | 0.709 | (3) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0
| | New York | 5.29 | (5) | 3.86 | (5) | 0.64 | (4) | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1
| | Cleveland | 5.17 | (6) | 4.5 | (8) | 0.563 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Minnesota | 2.67 | (14) | 2.5 | (1) | 0.529 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Tampa Bay | 4.33 | (7) | 4.33 | (7) | 0.5 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Detroit | 4.33 | (7) | 4.5 | (8) | 0.483 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Baltimore | 4.17 | (9) | 4.67 | (10) | 0.448 | (9) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
| | Chicago | 3.6 | (10) | 4.2 | (6) | 0.43 | (10) | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0
| | Oakland | 2.83 | (13) | 3.5 | (3) | 0.405 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1
| | Texas | 5.57 | (3) | 9.57 | (14) | 0.271 | (12) | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -2
| | Seattle | 3.33 | (12) | 6 | (11) | 0.254 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Kansas City | 3.4 | (11) | 6.4 | (13) | 0.239 | (14) | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -1
| |
|---|
- It's not often that you'll see a team allow 6 runs per game and still go undefeated, but that's what the Red Sox did last week. The Texas Rangers, on the other hand, scored nearly 6 runs per game, and were 0-7.
- The Red Sox lead in the division increased by 1 this week, from 3 1/2 to 4 1/2. But because they only played 5 games to the Yankees 7, they actually increased their lead by 2 in the loss column, to 5.
- The White Sox are not scheduled to come back to the east coast. Apparently, the only off-day in common the rest of the way is September 5, and giving up that off-day would mean that the Red Sox play 30 straight days, which the players have to agree to. It would not be surprising to find that yesterday's game never gets made up.
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