The 2012 Red Sox feel like a series that the network has cancelled, but they're burning off the remaining episodes during low ratings periods...
- Hey, look at that - they overperformed their Pythagorean this week! Yeah, they should have gone 2-5, but went 3-4 instead.
- Woo-hoo.
- How closely have I followed the team for the last month? Let me answer this way. I watched a little bit of the game yesterday afternoon, and my son said, "who is Danny Valencia?" To which I responded, "I have no idea - never heard of him."
- Seriously, in many circumstances, a game like Thursday's, in which they gave up six ninth-inning runs to lose a walk-off to the Rays, 7-4, would be a devastating defeat. In these circumstances, it carries the emotional heft of a mid-March split squad game against the Pirates.
- The 2012 Red Sox feel like a replacement NFL officiating crew...
- Red Sox Player of the Week - Go ahead. Try to make a case for someone. I dare you.
- Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - Another outstanding start from Clay Buchholz gave them their third win in four games in Tampa. Until the bullpen gave it back...
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/24/2012
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| Tampa Bay | 4.31 | (10) | 3.64 | (1) | 0.576 | (1) | 88 | 65 | 83 | 70 | -5 |
|
| Texas | 5.03 | (1) | 4.25 | (8) | 0.576 | (2) | 88 | 64 | 90 | 62 | 2 |
|
| New York | 4.84 | (2) | 4.16 | (4) | 0.569 | (3) | 87 | 65 | 88 | 64 | 1 |
|
| Oakland | 4.28 | (11) | 3.8 | (2) | 0.554 | (4) | 84 | 68 | 86 | 66 | 2 |
|
| Los Angeles | 4.75 | (3) | 4.22 | (6) | 0.554 | (5) | 85 | 68 | 84 | 69 | -1 |
|
| Chicago | 4.62 | (5) | 4.2 | (5) | 0.544 | (6) | 83 | 69 | 81 | 71 | -2 |
|
| Detroit | 4.53 | (6) | 4.24 | (7) | 0.531 | (7) | 81 | 71 | 80 | 72 | -1 |
|
| Baltimore | 4.39 | (9) | 4.43 | (9) | 0.496 | (8) | 75 | 77 | 87 | 65 | 12 |
|
| Boston | 4.65 | (4) | 4.87 | (12) | 0.479 | (9) | 74 | 80 | 69 | 85 | -5 |
|
| Seattle | 3.75 | (14) | 3.98 | (3) | 0.472 | (10) | 72 | 81 | 72 | 81 | 0 |
|
| Kansas City | 4.24 | (12) | 4.54 | (10) | 0.468 | (11) | 71 | 81 | 70 | 82 | -1 |
|
| Toronto | 4.43 | (7) | 4.85 | (11) | 0.459 | (12) | 69 | 82 | 66 | 85 | -3 |
|
| Minnesota | 4.4 | (8) | 5.18 | (13) | 0.426 | (13) | 65 | 88 | 64 | 89 | -1 |
|
| Cleveland | 4.05 | (13) | 5.2 | (14) | 0.388 | (14) | 59 | 94 | 63 | 90 | 4 |
|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Texas | 96 | 66 |
|
| New York | 94 | 68 |
|
| Baltimore | 93 | 69 |
|
| Oakland | 92 | 70 |
|
| Los Angeles | 89 | 73 |
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Texas | 96 | 66 |
|
| New York | 94 | 68 |
|
| Oakland | 92 | 70 |
|
| Baltimore | 92 | 70 |
|
| Los Angeles | 89 | 73 |
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | | Projected | Actual | |
|
|---|
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck |
|
|---|
| Tampa Bay | 7.57 | (1) | 3.57 | (3) | 0.798 | (1) | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
|
| Baltimore | 5.17 | (5) | 2.83 | (1) | 0.75 | (2) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
|
| Los Angeles | 4.67 | (7) | 2.83 | (1) | 0.714 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
|
| New York | 5.33 | (4) | 4.17 | (7) | 0.611 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
|
| Detroit | 5.57 | (3) | 4.71 | (10) | 0.576 | (5) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
|
| Cleveland | 5.67 | (2) | 5 | (11) | 0.557 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
|
| Minnesota | 4.5 | (8) | 4.33 | (8) | 0.517 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
| Kansas City | 4 | (10) | 4.5 | (9) | 0.446 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
| Oakland | 5.17 | (5) | 6.33 | (13) | 0.408 | (9) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Texas | 3 | (11) | 3.83 | (4) | 0.39 | (10) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
|
| Boston | 4.14 | (9) | 5.86 | (12) | 0.347 | (11) | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
|
| Seattle | 2.67 | (12) | 3.83 | (4) | 0.34 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
| Chicago | 2.29 | (14) | 3.86 | (6) | 0.277 | (13) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
|
| Toronto | 2.67 | (12) | 7 | (14) | 0.146 | (14) | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -1 |
|
Labels: pythagorean, Red Sox
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