"more true than ever that the postseason remains a crapshoot"

I mocked SI's Jon Heyman for saying

The Red Sox disproved the old "crapshoot" theory espoused by a lot of folks who keep losing in the playoffs. The best team won in 2007, and that is no fluke.

Today, Jay Jaffe at Baseball Prospectus looked at the history of "best teams" in the playoffs and concluded that

In other words, it's no cakewalk for even the best of teams, with roughly one in four emerging as champions. It's more true than ever that the postseason remains a crapshoot.

There's no question about which side of that question that I'm on...