AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 8/29/2005
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Oakland | 4.9 | (4) | 4.04 | (4) | 0.587 | (1) | 76 | 53 | 73 | 56 | -3
| | Anaheim | 4.7 | (9) | 4.02 | (2) | 0.572 | (2) | 74 | 56 | 73 | 57 | -1
| | Chicago | 4.62 | (10) | 4 | (1) | 0.566 | (3) | 72 | 55 | 79 | 48 | 7
| | Cleveland | 4.77 | (6) | 4.14 | (5) | 0.565 | (4) | 74 | 57 | 73 | 58 | -1
| | Boston | 5.75 | (1) | 5.08 | (11) | 0.557 | (5) | 71 | 57 | 74 | 54 | 3
| | New York | 5.46 | (2) | 4.86 | (9) | 0.553 | (6) | 71 | 58 | 73 | 56 | 2
| | Toronto | 4.81 | (5) | 4.39 | (6) | 0.541 | (7) | 70 | 60 | 65 | 65 | -5
| | Minnesota | 4.34 | (13) | 4.03 | (3) | 0.534 | (8) | 69 | 61 | 68 | 62 | -1
| | Texas | 5.33 | (3) | 5.32 | (12) | 0.501 | (9) | 65 | 64 | 61 | 68 | -4
| | Detroit | 4.75 | (7) | 4.81 | (8) | 0.494 | (10) | 63 | 65 | 62 | 66 | -1
| | Seattle | 4.43 | (12) | 4.7 | (7) | 0.473 | (11) | 61 | 68 | 55 | 74 | -6
| | Baltimore | 4.5 | (11) | 4.91 | (10) | 0.46 | (12) | 59 | 70 | 61 | 68 | 2
| | Tampa Bay | 4.73 | (8) | 5.81 | (13) | 0.407 | (13) | 53 | 78 | 55 | 76 | 2
| | Kansas City | 4.2 | (14) | 5.84 | (14) | 0.353 | (14) | 45 | 83 | 42 | 86 | -3
| |
|---|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Chicago | 101 | 61
|
| Boston | 94 | 68
|
| Oakland | 92 | 70
|
| New York | 92 | 70
|
| Anaheim | 91 | 71
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Chicago | 99 | 63
|
| Boston | 93 | 69
|
| Oakland | 92 | 70
|
| Anaheim | 91 | 71
|
| Cleveland | 91 | 71
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Oakland | 7.83 | (1) | 2.33 | (1) | 0.902 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0
| | New York | 6.57 | (3) | 3.71 | (5) | 0.74 | (2) | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1
| | Cleveland | 6.43 | (4) | 4.43 | (6) | 0.664 | (3) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0
| | Texas | 4.33 | (8) | 3.5 | (3) | 0.596 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
| | Boston | 6.67 | (2) | 6 | (11) | 0.548 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Tampa Bay | 6.43 | (4) | 6.14 | (13) | 0.521 | (6) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0
| | Seattle | 4.67 | (7) | 4.5 | (7) | 0.517 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1
| | Chicago | 3.17 | (11) | 3.5 | (3) | 0.454 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
| | Minnesota | 2.33 | (14) | 3 | (2) | 0.387 | (9) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Anaheim | 3.67 | (10) | 4.83 | (8) | 0.376 | (10) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Kansas City | 4 | (9) | 5.83 | (10) | 0.334 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Detroit | 5 | (6) | 8.17 | (14) | 0.289 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0
| | Toronto | 3 | (12) | 5.29 | (9) | 0.262 | (13) | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0
| | Baltimore | 2.67 | (13) | 6 | (11) | 0.185 | (14) | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0
| |
|---|
There is panic spreading through Red Sox nation right now, but none here. These things happen. 3-3 against KC and Detroit is, obviously, a very disappointing week. Doing it while the Yankees are going 6-1 is even worse. That's life - it happens.
Now, if it happens again this week, that would be bad. The Red Sox have 7 home games this week, 4 against Tampa Bay and 3 against Baltimore. Anything less than 5-2 would make for a poor week. Meanwhile, the Yankees have 7 games on the west coast. If the lead doesn't increase this week, then people can start to fret...
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