Monday Pythagorean report
AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 5/23/2005
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Chicago | 4.66 | (7) | 3.45 | (1) | 0.634 | (1) | 28 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 3
| | Baltimore | 5.49 | (3) | 4.56 | (7) | 0.584 | (2) | 25 | 18 | 27 | 16 | 2
| | Minnesota | 4.69 | (6) | 3.95 | (3) | 0.578 | (3) | 24 | 18 | 25 | 17 | 1
| | Boston | 5.51 | (2) | 4.77 | (9) | 0.566 | (4) | 24 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 1
| | Texas | 5.32 | (4) | 4.77 | (10) | 0.549 | (5) | 24 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 0
| | New York | 5.59 | (1) | 5.11 | (11) | 0.541 | (6) | 24 | 20 | 23 | 21 | -1
| | Toronto | 4.8 | (5) | 4.39 | (6) | 0.541 | (7) | 24 | 20 | 23 | 21 | -1
| | Detroit | 4.48 | (9) | 4.12 | (4) | 0.538 | (8) | 23 | 19 | 20 | 22 | -3
| | Anaheim | 4.19 | (11) | 3.93 | (2) | 0.529 | (9) | 23 | 20 | 25 | 18 | 2
| | Cleveland | 4 | (13) | 4.21 | (5) | 0.476 | (10) | 20 | 22 | 19 | 23 | -1
| | Seattle | 4.28 | (10) | 4.74 | (8) | 0.453 | (11) | 19 | 24 | 18 | 25 | -1
| | Tampa Bay | 4.56 | (8) | 5.93 | (14) | 0.381 | (12) | 17 | 28 | 15 | 30 | -2
| | Oakland | 3.93 | (14) | 5.14 | (12) | 0.38 | (13) | 16 | 27 | 17 | 26 | 1
| | Kansas City | 4.16 | (12) | 5.5 | (13) | 0.375 | (14) | 16 | 28 | 13 | 31 | -3
| |
|---|
Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
| Chicago | 114 | 48
|
| Baltimore | 102 | 60
|
| Minnesota | 96 | 66
|
| Boston | 94 | 68
|
| Anaheim | 94 | 68
|
Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
| Chicago | 106 | 56
|
| Baltimore | 97 | 65
|
| Minnesota | 94 | 68
|
| Boston | 92 | 70
|
| Texas | 89 | 73
|
Standings for the week
| | | | | | | ProjectedActual
| | R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck
|
|---|
| Chicago | 5.17 | (5) | 2.83 | (1) | 0.75 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1
| | Cleveland | 5 | (7) | 2.83 | (1) | 0.739 | (2) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1
| | Texas | 6 | (2) | 4 | (7) | 0.677 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
| | Toronto | 4.5 | (9) | 3.33 | (3) | 0.634 | (4) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1
| | New York | 4.83 | (8) | 3.67 | (4) | 0.624 | (5) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0
| | Oakland | 5.83 | (3) | 4.5 | (9) | 0.617 | (6) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1
| | Anaheim | 4 | (11) | 3.67 | (4) | 0.54 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
| | Kansas City | 6.5 | (1) | 6.33 | (14) | 0.512 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1
| | Baltimore | 5.83 | (3) | 5.83 | (12) | 0.5 | (9) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Minnesota | 3.83 | (12) | 4 | (7) | 0.481 | (10) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1
| | Tampa Bay | 4.5 | (9) | 5.17 | (11) | 0.437 | (11) | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2
| | Boston | 5.17 | (5) | 6 | (13) | 0.432 | (12) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0
| | Seattle | 3.5 | (13) | 4.5 | (9) | 0.387 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1
| | Detroit | 2.83 | (14) | 3.67 | (4) | 0.384 | (14) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1
| |
|---|
Not a great week, but taking 2-of-3 from Atlanta enabled them to finish it at 3-3 after the dreary start in Oakland. Wade Miller. 'Nuff said.Clement was mediocre in Oakland on Tuesday (and looked awful because Mantei allowed the 2 runners that he left (with 2 out) to score. He was awesome yesterday. Atlanta had 3 hits and a hit batsmen in the 4th, and scored their two runs. They had 1 hit in the 9th. They had no baserunners in the other 7 innings. One of the issues that Clement generally takes to the mound is that he tends to throw a lot of pitches. He threw only 110 in 9 innings yesterday.After 43 games, they're 1 games behind last year's pace. They've allowed 27 more runs (204 vs. 178) and scored 16 more (237 vs. 221). The latter is really surprising given how much it feels like they've struggled offensively, and they've played so few games at home. What's important to remember is that last year's team was playing Gabe Kapler in right and Pokey Reese at SS.
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