Monday, April 25, 2005

Monday Pythagorean report - 4/25



AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 4/25/2005
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Boston5.63(2)4(2)0.652(1)127118-1

Chicago4.53(10)3.37(1)0.632(2)1271543

Anaheim4.84(6)4.11(3)0.575(3)1181180

Detroit5.65(1)4.88(9)0.566(4)107710-3

Baltimore5.58(3)4.84(8)0.564(5)1181271

Minnesota4.76(8)4.18(5)0.56(6)1071070

Seattle4.53(10)4.21(6)0.533(7)109910-1

New York5.53(4)5.89(13)0.471(8)910811-1

Cleveland3.89(12)4.21(6)0.464(9)910811-1

Toronto4.75(9)5.15(10)0.463(10)9119110

Texas5.05(5)5.6(11)0.453(11)91110101

Oakland3.68(13)4.11(3)0.451(12)9109100

Tampa Bay4.79(7)6.26(14)0.38(13)7128111

Kansas City3.63(14)5.84(12)0.295(14)613514-1




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Chicago12834

Baltimore10260

Minnesota9567

Boston9468

Anaheim9468




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Chicago10557

Boston10458

Anaheim9369

Baltimore9369

Minnesota9171



The White Sox aren't as good as their record. The Red Sox are better than theirs...



Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Chicago5.14(6)2.29(1)0.815(1)61701

Boston6.29(2)3.57(3)0.738(2)5243-1

Anaheim4.29(9)2.86(2)0.677(3)52520

New York7.43(1)5(8)0.674(4)5243-1

Baltimore5(7)4.71(7)0.527(5)43430

Texas5.43(4)5.29(10)0.512(6)43430

Cleveland3.86(10)3.86(4)0.5(7)4334-1

Oakland3.71(12)4(5)0.466(8)34340

Detroit5.2(5)5.6(11)0.466(8)23230

Minnesota4.8(8)5.2(9)0.463(10)23230

Seattle3.57(13)4.29(6)0.417(11)34340

Tampa Bay5.86(3)7.86(14)0.369(12)34431

Kansas City3.86(10)5.71(12)0.328(13)2516-1

Toronto3.29(14)7.71(13)0.173(14)16160



Three painful 1-run defeats. Three blow-out wins (and a 1-0 beauty). That's the recipe for Pythagorean underachievement.

Fabulous starting pitching this week. 7 games, almost 7 ip/g, an ERA of under 3. What's shocking is what it looks like without Schilling.



Red Sox Starting pitching 4/18-5/24
GIP/GERAWHIP

Team76.712.871.28

Schilling266.751.75

Not Schilling571.541.11


The non-Schilling portion of the starting rotation has been outstanding so far. The bullpen's been shaky, in places and at times, but it doesn't look yet like anything other than early shakiness. I said over the winter that this was actually a better team than last year's, and I still think it is.

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