Monday, September 03, 2012

Monday Pythagorean - 9/3/2012

I was getting ready to write about their "perfect" week, when I realized that they'd spoiled it on Monday afternoon, playing a wraparound game against the Royals - and winning it - before heading west. So I'll have to settle for writing about the "perfect" road trip, instead...
  • How bad has the trip been? Every game in Oakland was better than the one that preceded it, and they lost the last game 6-2.
  • Is there really anything else to say?
  • The weak links have been weak. The core players who should be carrying the team are. In the wrong direction.
  • It's tough to see how Valentine survives. That's not to say that it's his fault. But if Francona had to go at the end of last September, how can you not replace a manager under whom the team has played the way it's played this season?
  • Red Sox Player of the Week - Yeah, right.
  • Red Sox Pitcher of the Week - As if...


AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/3/2012
ProjectedActual
R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck
Texas5.16(1)4.28(7)0.585(1)785579541
Oakland4.31(9)3.68(2)0.572(2)765776570
Tampa Bay4.2(11)3.63(1)0.567(3)76587361-3
New York4.79(3)4.14(4)0.567(4)755876571
Chicago4.67(5)4.19(5)0.55(5)73607261-1
Los Angeles4.75(4)4.42(8)0.533(6)716371630
Detroit4.55(6)4.26(6)0.53(7)706372612
Boston4.83(2)4.87(12)0.496(8)67686273-5
Seattle3.87(14)3.96(3)0.49(9)66696570-1
Toronto4.53(7)4.8(11)0.473(10)63706073-3
Baltimore4.25(10)4.51(9)0.473(11)6370745911
Kansas City4.15(12)4.54(10)0.459(12)61726073-1
Minnesota4.37(8)5.14(13)0.426(13)57775579-2
Cleveland4.04(13)5.22(14)0.385(14)528256784



Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Texas9666
Oakland9369
New York9369
Baltimore9072
Tampa Bay8874



Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Texas9666
Oakland9369
New York9270
Tampa Bay8973
Chicago8874


Standings for the week
ProjectedActual
R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck
Oakland9(1)2.29(1)0.925(1)61701
Los Angeles6(2)2.5(2)0.832(2)51510
Baltimore4.71(3)3.14(3)0.677(3)52520
Detroit4.17(6)3.17(4)0.623(4)4233-1
Minnesota4.43(5)3.57(6)0.597(5)4334-1
Tampa Bay4(8)3.29(5)0.589(6)4334-1
Texas4.5(4)3.83(7)0.573(7)33421
Toronto4.14(7)4.14(8)0.5(8)43430
Kansas City3.86(9)4.14(8)0.467(9)34431
Chicago3(11)4.57(11)0.316(10)2516-1
New York3.67(10)5.67(12)0.311(11)24240
Seattle2.29(14)4.43(10)0.23(12)25432
Cleveland3(11)6.57(13)0.192(13)16160
Boston2.86(13)7.86(14)0.136(14)16160

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