Monday, July 17, 2006

Monday Pythagorean - 7/17/2006

Welcome to Red Sox nation, where losing 3 of 4 to anyone at any time is time to panic.

Give. Me. A. Break.

It happens to everyone. It happens to have happened to the Red Sox this weekend. They didn't pitch well, they didn't hit at all, and, as a result, they lost 3 of 4 to a good Oakland team. Life, I assure you, goes on...

Now, to be fair, my perspective isn't influenced by having sat through the games. I was at Karate Camp this weekend, and saw almost none of the baseball after Thursday night. But, just as they weren't as good as they looked during the 12 game win streak, they're not as bad as they looked this weekend.





AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 7/17/2006
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Detroit5.25(6)3.8(1)0.643(1)593362303

New York5.67(2)4.7(5)0.586(2)523753361

Chicago5.85(1)4.85(8)0.585(3)533857344

Boston5.57(3)4.9(9)0.558(4)504054364

Toronto5.34(5)4.9(10)0.539(5)494251402

Cleveland5.49(4)5.07(11)0.537(6)49424150-8

Minnesota4.89(8)4.53(3)0.534(7)484250402

Texas5.07(7)4.79(7)0.525(8)48444745-1

Seattle4.78(10)4.73(6)0.505(9)46464448-2

Los Angeles4.69(11)4.65(4)0.504(10)464546450

Oakland4.43(13)4.45(2)0.499(11)464648442

Baltimore4.79(9)5.52(13)0.435(12)415343512

Tampa Bay4.24(14)5.18(12)0.409(13)385439531

Kansas City4.59(12)6.11(14)0.372(14)34573259-2




Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Detroit10953

Chicago10161

Boston9765

New York9666

Toronto9171




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Detroit10755

Chicago9963

New York9666

Boston9468

Toronto8973





Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Los Angeles6.67(4)2.33(1)0.872(1)30300

New York8.67(1)4(5)0.805(2)21301

Oakland7(2)3.75(4)0.758(3)31310

Minnesota4.5(8)3(2)0.677(4)31310

Texas4.5(8)3.5(3)0.613(5)22220

Detroit7(2)5.5(10)0.609(6)22311

Toronto4.67(6)4.67(8)0.5(7)21210

Seattle4.67(6)4.67(8)0.5(7)2112-1

Kansas City5.5(5)7(12)0.391(9)2213-1

Baltimore3.5(12)4.5(6)0.387(10)22220

Cleveland3(13)4.5(6)0.323(11)13130

Boston3.75(11)7(12)0.242(12)13130

Chicago4(10)8.67(14)0.195(13)1203-1

Tampa Bay2.33(14)6.67(11)0.128(14)03030

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