Monday Pythagorean Report - 4/17
It was my position coming into the season that the Red Sox would be a good offensive team again this year. I think that I'm right, but it sure hasn't been so far. What they have been is a great pitching team, particularly when Schilling and Beckett have been on the mound, and Papelbon's been basically untouchable, so they've played numerous close games, and when they've taken a lead into the 7th inning, they've won them all. But I've said it before and I'll say it again - they aren't going to keep winning at this rate with an offense that doesn't score more runs than this.
A big part of the problem has been Manny Ramirez. Another big part is that Alex Gonzalez has been every bit the black hole that I feared he'd be. And the lineup Saturday included Josh Bard and Alex Cora and Adam Stern. It was very, very ugly. When Pena's double bounced into the stands instead of the triangle, it left them with runners at 2nd and 3rd with no outs. The next four hitters due up were:
Bard
Gonzalez
Stern
Cora
The results were, unfortunately, predictable. They did get a great at-bat from Josh Bard, who fouled off numerous pitches and worked a walk. But then, Gonzalez struck out, Stern struck out and Cora grounded out, ending their 1 serious threat for the day.
Ugly...
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | New York | 6.67 | (1) | 4.33 | (3) | 0.687 | (1) | 8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | Detroit | 5.42 | (6) | 3.92 | (1) | 0.644 | (2) | 8 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -1 | Cleveland | 5.33 | (7) | 4.67 | (4) | 0.561 | (3) | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | Boston | 4.42 | (12) | 4.08 | (2) | 0.536 | (4) | 6 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | Toronto | 6 | (2) | 5.75 | (12) | 0.519 | (5) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | Baltimore | 5.46 | (5) | 5.31 | (10) | 0.513 | (6) | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | Minnesota | 5.17 | (8) | 5.08 | (7) | 0.507 | (7) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | Chicago | 5.58 | (4) | 5.5 | (11) | 0.507 | (8) | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | Seattle | 4.69 | (9) | 4.69 | (5) | 0.5 | (9) | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | -1 | Texas | 4.54 | (10) | 4.77 | (6) | 0.477 | (10) | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -1 | Tampa Bay | 5.62 | (3) | 5.92 | (13) | 0.476 | (11) | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | Los Angeles | 4.5 | (11) | 5.17 | (8) | 0.437 | (12) | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | Oakland | 4.23 | (13) | 5.23 | (9) | 0.404 | (13) | 5 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | Kansas City | 4.09 | (14) | 7.45 | (14) | 0.25 | (14) | 3 | 8 | 2 | 9 | -1 | |
|---|
| Boston | 108 | 54 |
| Detroit | 95 | 67 |
| Cleveland | 95 | 67 |
| Chicago | 95 | 67 |
| Baltimore | 87 | 75 |
| New York | 109 | 53 |
| Detroit | 104 | 58 |
| Cleveland | 91 | 71 |
| Boston | 88 | 74 |
| Toronto | 84 | 78 |
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | New York | 7.5 | (1) | 4.83 | (5) | 0.691 | (1) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Texas | 5.33 | (6) | 4 | (1) | 0.629 | (2) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | Minnesota | 5.83 | (5) | 4.67 | (3) | 0.601 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Tampa Bay | 5.86 | (4) | 4.86 | (7) | 0.585 | (4) | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | Toronto | 6.33 | (3) | 5.33 | (10) | 0.578 | (5) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | Chicago | 6.5 | (2) | 5.67 | (12) | 0.562 | (6) | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | Seattle | 5.17 | (7) | 4.67 | (3) | 0.546 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | Baltimore | 5.14 | (9) | 5 | (8) | 0.513 | (8) | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | Los Angeles | 4.83 | (10) | 4.83 | (5) | 0.5 | (9) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | Cleveland | 5.17 | (7) | 5.5 | (11) | 0.471 | (10) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | Boston | 3.33 | (14) | 4.17 | (2) | 0.399 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | Detroit | 3.83 | (13) | 5 | (8) | 0.381 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Oakland | 4 | (12) | 6 | (13) | 0.323 | (13) | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | Kansas City | 4.17 | (11) | 8.67 | (14) | 0.207 | (14) | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -1 | |
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