Monday, September 12, 2005

Monday Pythagorean Report



AL Pythagorean Projection Report - 9/12/2005
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Oakland4.85(4)4.06(4)0.58(1)82607963-3

Cleveland4.83(5)4.06(3)0.579(2)83608261-1

Anaheim4.64(9)3.91(1)0.578(3)82608161-1

Chicago4.66(8)4.03(2)0.566(4)806287557

Boston5.68(1)5(11)0.558(5)796383594

New York5.31(3)4.84(8)0.542(6)776580623

Toronto4.71(6)4.32(6)0.54(7)77657171-6

Minnesota4.3(13)4.15(5)0.517(8)736973690

Texas5.45(2)5.39(12)0.505(9)72717073-2

Seattle4.36(12)4.61(7)0.475(10)67756181-6

Detroit4.61(10)4.91(10)0.471(11)66756576-1

Baltimore4.49(11)4.87(9)0.464(12)667667751

Tampa Bay4.68(7)5.73(13)0.409(13)598560841

Kansas City4.27(14)5.76(14)0.366(14)52894695-6





Top 5 projections (using current winning %)
Chicago9963

Boston9567

Cleveland9369

Anaheim9270

New York9171




Top 5 projections (starting with today's record, using Pythagorean winning %)
Chicago9864

Boston9468

Cleveland9369

Anaheim9369

Oakland9171




Standings for the week
ProjectedActual

R/G(rank)RA/G(rank)Pythagorean(rank)WLWLLuck

Cleveland5.57(2)2.14(1)0.852(1)61701

Anaheim5(3)3.33(2)0.677(2)42420

Toronto4.67(4)3.5(4)0.629(3)42420

Texas7(1)5.5(13)0.609(4)4233-1

Baltimore4(9)3.67(5)0.54(5)33330

Boston3.57(11)3.43(3)0.519(6)4334-1

Kansas City4.67(4)4.83(9)0.484(7)3324-1

Tampa Bay4.17(8)4.5(7)0.465(8)33330

Seattle3.5(13)3.83(6)0.458(9)33330

Oakland4.67(4)5.17(12)0.454(10)33330

New York3.83(10)4.67(8)0.411(11)24331

Chicago3.57(11)4.86(10)0.363(12)34340

Detroit3.43(14)5(11)0.334(13)25250

Minnesota4.33(7)7.67(14)0.26(14)2415-1




A 3-4 week, but the Yankees lost 3, so the lead is 3 with 3 weeks left. And they each play their last 3 head-to-head at Fenway. So this is where we stand right now - Boston has a 3-game lead, and each team has 20 games left. The next 17 for both:

Boston -
Toronto (7 - 3 away, 4 home)
Oakland (4 - home)
Tampa Bay (3 - away)
Baltimore (3 - away)

New York -
Toronto (6 - 3 away, 3 home)
Tampa Bay (3 - away)
Baltimore (8 - 4 home, 4 away)

  • If the Red Sox increase their lead over the next 17, they win the East.

  • If they have the same record over the next 17, the Yankees need to sweep the last 3 to tie.

  • If New York makes up 1 game, the Yankees need to sweep the last 3 to win the East.

  • If New York makes up 2 games, the Yankees need to take 2-of-3 in that last series to tie.

  • If New York makes up 3 or more games, the Red Sox need that series - badly...

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